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8873 / 2027
Data and Experimental Skills

Lesson 3 of 3

Evaluate evidence

Explain limitations and target improvements.

A-Level 8873, revised syllabus (2026-2027)

  • I can find patterns and draw inferences.Syllabus

    Syllabus 8873, B4. Find patterns and draw inferences

  • I can apply chemistry to unfamiliar situations.Syllabus

    Syllabus 8873, B6. Apply chemistry to unfamiliar situations

  • I can integrate knowledge.Syllabus

    Syllabus 8873, B7. Integrate knowledge

  • I can evaluate information and hypotheses.Syllabus

    Syllabus 8873, B8. Evaluate information and hypotheses

  • I can justify a conclusion or action.Syllabus

    Syllabus 8873, B9. Justify a conclusion or action

  • I can recognise model limitations.Syllabus

    Syllabus 8873, B10. Recognise model limitations

Evaluate evidence and explain the direction of an error

An improvement is useful when it targets a specific limitation.

Different limitations need different responses
IssueEffect on evidenceUseful response
Random variationRepeated results scatter unpredictablyRepeat independent measurements; compare their spread and use a justified mean
Systematic biasResults are displaced consistently, for example by an incorrect calibrationCheck against a suitable standard or correct the apparatus/method; repetition alone does not remove the bias
Uncontrolled variableTwo possible causes change togetherHold that variable constant or design an additional comparison
Limited range or sampleA relationship may be supported only locallyCollect appropriate additional values; restrict the conclusion to the evidence

Accuracy concerns closeness to a valid reference value; precision concerns the closeness of repeated measurements. A tightly grouped set can still be inaccurate. An anomalous point is a reason to investigate the method and repeat a measurement, not permission to remove inconvenient evidence silently. Record an exclusion and its reason.

Does treatment M improve the reaction rate?
RunTreatment and temperatureTime to the same gas volume
AWithout M, 25 °C48 s
BWith M, 35 °C24 s
CWithout M, 35 °C25 s

Worked exampleBuild an argument, then choose the next comparison

A supplier claims that adding unfamiliar material M doubles the rate of a gas-forming reaction. All runs use the same reactant amounts and apparatus. The table gives one run per condition; a time difference of 1 s is within the observed timing variation.

Try it first. Then show the worked stepsHide the worked steps
  1. A and B change both temperature and the presence of M. Their 48 s versus 24 s times cannot isolate an effect of M.
  2. B and C use the same temperature. Their 24 s and 25 s times differ by an amount within the stated variation, so these results do not establish an improvement caused by M.
  3. Higher temperature is a plausible alternative explanation: at 35 °C a larger fraction of collisions can overcome the activation energy. This explains a rate change without assuming M is a catalyst.
  4. Recommend repeated runs with and without M at the same controlled temperature, keeping quantities, total solution volume and the measured gas-volume endpoint fixed. Compare the spread as well as the mean times.
Answer

Do not adopt M on this evidence alone. The claim is not established; that is different from proving that M has no effect. A controlled, repeated comparison can distinguish the explanations.

Worked exampleFollow an error through the calculation

An acid in a burette neutralises a known amount of alkali in a flask, in a 1:1 ratio. The burette tip initially contains an air bubble that fills with acid during the titration. What happens to the calculated acid concentration?

Try it first. Then show the worked stepsHide the worked steps
  1. Some liquid leaving the graduated barrel fills the tip instead of entering the flask. The recorded titre is larger than the acid volume delivered to the flask.
  2. The known alkali amount still determines the acid amount needed for neutralisation.
  3. Calculated acid concentration = known reacting amount / recorded acid volume. A denominator that is too large gives a concentration that is too low.
Answer

The calculated acid concentration is too low in this arrangement. Fill the tip before taking the initial reading. If the unknown were instead in the flask, the calculation and error direction would need to be reconsidered.

Write evaluation as a causal chain: limitation -> affected measurement -> effect on the calculated result -> targeted improvement. "Human error" and "use better equipment" do not identify what happened. For example, gas escaping before collection lowers measured gas volume; assembling a closed collection system before starting the reaction addresses that loss.

Check your understanding

A thermometer reads 2 degrees too high at every temperature. Will averaging five readings remove that error?

  1. No. Averaging works with an even number of readings, so take six readings instead.
  2. No. Averaging reduces random scatter, but a fixed offset stays in every reading.
  3. Yes. Five readings are enough for their errors to cancel each other out.
Show the answer

No. Averaging reduces random scatter, but a fixed offset stays in every reading.

Every reading is 2 degrees high, so their average is too. Calibrate the thermometer against a reference. A temperature change measured with the same thermometer can cancel a constant offset.